Why countries trade
There are two basic types of trade between countries:
• the first in which the receiving country itself cannot produce the goods or
provide the services in question, or where they do not have enough.
• the second, in which they have the capability of producing the goods or
supplying the services, but still import them.
The rationale for the first kind of trade is very clear. So long as the
importing country can afford to buy the products or services they are able to
acquire things which, otherwise they would have to do without. Examples of
differing significance are the import of bananas into the UK, in response to
consumer demand, or copper to China, an essential for Chinese manufacturing
industry.
The second kind of trade is of greater interest because it accounts for a
majority of world trade today and the rationale is more complex. The UK
imports motor cars, coal, oil, TV sets, domestic appliances and white goods,
IT equipment, clothing and many more products which it was well able to
produce domestically until it either transferred production abroad or ceased
production as local industries became uncompetitive. At first sight, it would
seem a waste of resources to import goods from all over the world in which a
country could perfectly well be self-sufficient.
However, the reasons for importing this category of product generally fall
into three classifications:
• the imported goods may be cheaper than those produced domestically;
• a greater variety of goods may be made available through imports;
• the imported goods may offer advantages other than lower prices over
domestic production – better quality or design, higher status (eg prestige
labelling), technical features, etc.
Comparative advantage
The law of comparative advantage was first articulated by the 19th century
economist David Ricardo who concluded that there is an economic benefit
4 The Global Economy
for a nation to specialize in producing those goods for which it had a relative
advantage, and exchanging them for the products of the nations which had
advantages in other kinds of product. An obvious example is coal which can
be mined in open-cast Australian mines or in China with low cost labour
and shipped more than 10,000 miles to the UK where a dwindling supply of
coal can be extracted only from high cost deep mines. In coal, Australia and
China have comparative advantages.
The theory of comparative advantage can be extended on a macro-economic
scale. Not only will trade take place to satisfy conditions of comparative
advantage; in principle, the overall wealth of the world will increase if each
country specializes in what it does best.
Stated at its most simplistic, of course the theory ignores many factors, of
which the most important is that there may be limited international demand
for some nations’ specialized output. Nevertheless, the question arises why
specialization has not occurred on a greater scale in the real world. The
main reasons, all of them complex, may be summarized in order of
significance, as follows:
• strategic defence and economic reasons (the need to produce goods for
which there would be heavy demand in times of war);
• transport costs which preclude the application of comparative advantage;
• artificial barriers to trade imposed to protect local industry, such as tariffs
and quotas.
The evolution of International trade
Overall, merchandise trade grew by an
average of 3.4% per annum from 1870 to 1913 in the period up to World War
I. Two World Wars interspersed by the Depression and a world slump
effectively reduced the annual rate of growth in international trade to less
than 1% in the period 1914 to 1950.
Then, as the international institutions which were established in the
immediate post-1945 period began to introduce some financial stability and
impact, world trade there followed a 23 year period of more buoyant growth
averaging 7.9% up to 1973. In the next 25 years to 1998, the average growth
rate in merchandise trade fell back to 5.1%. More recently, a less stable
period of global economic slowdown saw merchandise exports fall by 4% in
2001, after rising by an exceptional 13% in 2000.
Apart from the period between the two World Wars and up to 2001, trade
has continuously outstripped growth in the world economy as a whole.
The rationale for foreign trade and its organization 5
Protectionism
To analyze what happened in the inter-war years of the 1920s and 1930s, it
is necessary to understand that the reaction of many governments to
economic slump was to protect jobs at home by raising the protection against
imports. The most common method of protection is the introduction or
increase of tariffs on imported goods. In the 1920s and 1930s, the widespread
use of tariffs caused job losses, in turn, in other countries – a reiterative
process. In the second half of the 1930s, the prolonged world slump was
alleviated, particularly in Europe, by the heavy public spending on defence
equipment and munitions in the lead-up to the World War II.
After 1945, there were concerted international efforts to put in place
organizations which would reduce the effects of trade protection and any
future reductions in world economic activity. The first of these were the
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the International Bank for
Reconstruction and Development (IBRD), now known as the World Bank
which were established by the Bretton Woods Agreement in 1947. These
institutions which have become the cornerstones of international macroeconomic
management were largely the brainchild of British economist John
Maynard Keynes, who was among the first to recognize that reductions in
government spending and increases in protection had been major causes of
the pre-war depression.\
Methods of protection
The tools of protection may be categorized as either tariff or non-tariff
barriers.
Tariffs
A tariff is a ‘tax’ or import duty levied on goods or services entering a
country. Tariffs can be fixed or percentage levies and serve the twin purposes
of generating revenue for governments and making it more difficult for
companies from other countries to do business in the protected market.
The moves towards ‘free trade’ of the 19th century were largely offset by
the reintroduction of tariffs in the early part of the 20th century at rates
sometimes as high as 33 and 50%. Since 1945, tariffs have been lowered
significantly as a result of eight successive rounds of multilateral trade
negotiations under the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT),
the third institution established following the Bretton Woods Agreement,
and its successor the World Trade Organization (WTO).
Non-tariff barriers
Although progress was made in dismantling tariff barriers under the GATT
in the period up to 1995 when the WTO was established, the use of non-tariff protection increased during the 1980s, mostly as a substitute for the
tariffs which were outlawed.
The following is a list of non-tariff measures which have been deployed by
both developed and developing countries:
• Quotas
A numerical limit in terms of value or volume imposed on the amount of
a product which can be imported. Chinese quotas on imported automobiles
or French quotas on Japanese VHS equipment during the 1980s are wellknown
examples.
• Voluntary export restraints
Agreed arrangements whereby an exporter agrees not to export more
than a specific amount of a good to the importing country (usually to preempt
the imposition of more stringent measures). Such agreements are
common for automobiles and electronics, but are also applied to steel and
chemicals.
•Domestic subsidies
The provision of financial aid or preferential tax status to domestic
manufacturers which gives them an advantage over external suppliers.
The most obvious examples are agricultur,e where both the EU and US
have consistently employed subsidies to help domestic producers.
• Import deposits
The device of requiring the importer to make a deposit (usually a
proportion of the value of the goods) with the Government for a fixed
period. The effect on cash flow is intended to discourage imports.
• Safety and health standards / technical specifications
This more subtle form of deterrent requires importers to meet stringent
standards or to complete complicated and lengthy formalities.
The French
bans on lamb and then beef imported from the UK during the 1990s will
be long remembered by the British farming industry.
Regions in world trade
Although the multilateral trading system promoted by the GATT and now
the WTO has been broadly successful in overcoming protectionist regimes –
at least up to the current Doha round – it has failed to prevent the
concomitant proliferation of regional pacts and regional trade agreements
(RTAs). More than 60% of world trade is regional and almost all major
countries belong to at least one RTA. In 2001, 61% of the EU’s trade was
between member states and 55% of North American trade was between the
three NAFTA countries. The jury is still out on whether RTAs can be viewed
as stepping stones toward multilateral integration or as discriminatory
arrangements that fracture the multilateral trading system. The failure of
the WTO summit meeting in Cancun, Mexico in September 2003, subsequent
Conference Meetings of Ministers and the further summit in Hong Kong in
The rationale for foreign trade and its organization 7
December 2005 to reach agreement, have not been encouraging.
More
recently, there has been an ominous rash of new protectionist measures and
RTA negotiations.
There are four basic models of trading block:
Free trade area
Members agree to reduce or abolish trade barriers such as tariffs and quotas
between themselves but retain their own individual tariffs and quotas
against non-members.
Customs union
Countries which belong to customs unions agree to reduce or abolish trade
barriers between themselves and agree to establish common tariffs and
quotas against outsiders.
Common market
Essentially, a common market is a customs union in which the members
also agree to reduce restrictions on the movement of factors of production –
such as people and finance – as well as reducing barriers on the sale of
goods.
Economic union
A common market which is taken further by agreeing to establish common
economic policies in areas such as taxation and interest rates. Even a
common currency is described as an economic union.
The original European Economic Community (EEC) in the mid-1950s,
comprising six members, was the forerunner of a number of such agreements.
Now with 27 member states, the European Union is still the most advanced
economic grouping. However, some of the more recent groupings, notably
ASEAN and NAFTA, having created regional trading agreements, account
for increasingly significant proportions of world trade. They are beneficial in allowing countries inside the arrangement
to acquire some goods at lower prices through tariff reductions than they
could from the rest of the world. However, they may also cause trade to be
‘diverted’ away from efficient producers outside the arrangement towards
less efficient sources,
The marketing concept
There is no argument about the concept of marketing but there are constant
arguments about the best way to define it. The consequence of this is that
there are literally hundreds of definitions of marketing, all of which can
claim to be correct. This does not mean that opinions differ about the essence
of marketing but that we can have different attitudes towards a single
concept.
The exchange process
The idea that international marketing can be seen as an exchange process
can be broken down into its constituent elements in the diagrammatic form.
This demonstrates the two sides of the exchange; the business on one side
using its expertise and resources to offer products and services on to a
market made up of potential customers who have their own ideas about
what they need and do not need. The business that most closely matches its principles and practice
products and services to the buyer’s perceptions of their needs will be more
likely to achieve its goal of profits and will be more likely to produce satisfied
customers.
The other point about this diagram is that it is not a process that has a
start and a finish. Businesses should be constantly questioning what they
do with their expertise and resources in terms of offers on to the market
simply because the perceived needs of the customers are dynamic, that is,
subject to change, and, in international trade, may be very volatile.
The marketing process
In fact we could take this a stage further. Perhaps the most important
question any business should be continually asking itself is:
‘What business am I in?’
You may think that this is a pointless question and that every business
knows its business. But you could be wrong.
The fact is that many businesses can get so focused on their products and
services that they can be very short sighted regarding the actual expertise
and resources which they possess.
There are a number of case studies
illustrating this, one of the more obvious ones being Bic who, when asked by
consultants what business they were in, replied, of course, that they were in
the ‘pen business’, more specifically the low price pen business.
The consultants conducted a marketing audit, an in depth investigation
of the strengths and weaknesses of the marketing function of a business,
and came back with their perception of Bic’s business. They said that Bic’s
expertise and resources were in ‘disposable plastic’.
Not a very revolutionary
statement but one which revolutionised Bic’s attitude towards it business.
It was not a pen manufacturer but a ‘disposable plastic’ manufacturer, more
specifically extruded plastic containing metal inserts. What came next, the
very first disposable razors, to be followed by disposable lighters, disposable
toothbrushes, disposable perfume dispensers etc. etc.
Fundamental questions can sometimes produce answers which fundamentally
change the nature of a business.
Back to our marketing definitions. While there may be innumerable
definitions of marketing it is possible to pick out a couple of elements which
are common to all of them, in fact the elements of a concept of marketing:
• Customer Orientation
• Profit
• (or other objective)
That is to say that all of a marketing company’s activities are centred
around the needs of the consumer and the whole process starts by finding
out what the customer wants.
The selling process
company which attempts to produce what it chooses to produce and then sell
it into the market.
Another cliche´: ‘marketing is about making what we can sell, not selling
what we can make.’
All of this is not because we like to please our customers, which of course
we do, but primarily based on the fact that a satisfied customer is a more
profitable customer.
However, it has to be said that definitions of words can help understanding
but the more practical question concerns the HOW? of marketing rather
than the WHAT?.
That is, if a company were to accept the need to be responsive to market
demand, to be ’ customer orientated’, as a means of becoming more successful
in competitive markets, then how would it go about doing it? Firstly, the
difference between selling and marketing is important.
The following tables illustrate the basic difference in the processes, the
major point being that selling starts with production, followed by the need
to sell enough to make a profit, whilst marketing starts with market research
in order to identify current market needs and profits from a satisfied
customer.
The other important distinction is the fact that selling is totally a one way
process whilst marketing is based on continuous feedback from the customer
and adaptation by the company to changes in consumer demand.
Often referred to as the ‘Marketing Mix’ - that is a cluster of elements
which all have to interact together in a cohesive plan. The right mix is the
recipe for success!
There are other structures for the elements of the mix, notably the concept
of the ‘7Ps’ which adds to the above:
• PEOPLE - considerations of the personnel involved and their responsibilities
and needs
• PROCESS – administrative processes necessary for implementation
• PHYSICAL – actual evidence of implementation, change and outcomes
And a list of twelve elements produced by Professor Neil Borden of the
Harvard Business School:
• Product planning
• Pricing
• Branding
• Channels of distribution
• Personal selling
• Advertising
• Promotion
• Packaging
• Display
• Servicing
• Physical handling
• Marketing research
All of which are contained within the more simplistic 4 Ps approach.
No amount of planning is beneficial without real implementation of the
plan in practice. Planning is not a process that can be seen but it
does result in the high profile activities of selling, promotion and physical
distribution which are clearly visible as the practical results of the planning. . It is not the marketing process which changes from home to
export markets, or even from one export market to another, but the
application of that process which will differ from one market to another.
The concept of market orientation, by definition, means that companies
will attempt to discover the differences exhibited from one market to another
and adapt to them in order to maximise profitable business. The differences
encountered between the UK home market and overseas markets form a
formidable list, and it is an ignorance of these differences which very often
explains the failures of UK companies overseas.
0 comments:
Post a Comment